
\begin{table}[htbp]
   \caption{\label{tab:mid_logit} Fatal MID Initiation: Logit Models}
   \centering
   \begin{tabular}{lcccc}
      \tabularnewline \midrule \midrule
      Dependent Variable: & \multicolumn{4}{c}{Fatal MID onset}\\
      Model:                                    & (1)           & (2)         & (3)         & (4)\\  
      \midrule
      \emph{Variables}\\
      Lost home rule \& lost unity              & 2.108$^{***}$ & 1.627$^{+}$ & 1.651$^{+}$ &   \\   
                                                & (0.5563)      & (0.9575)    & (0.9300)    &   \\   
      Lost home rule \& lost unity (post-1816)  &               &             &             & 1.571\\   
                                                &               &             &             & (0.9664)\\   
      Lost home rule \& lost unity (pre-1816)   &               &             &             & 2.047$^{**}$\\   
                                                &               &             &             & (0.7451)\\   
      Lost unity only                           & 1.121         & 0.4835      & 0.3451      &   \\   
                                                & (0.9329)      & (1.125)     & (1.078)     &   \\   
      Lost unity only (post-1816)               &               &             &             & 1.219\\   
                                                &               &             &             & (0.9177)\\   
      Lost unity only (pre-1816)                &               &             &             & -0.2827\\   
                                                &               &             &             & (1.700)\\   
      \midrule
      \emph{Fixed-effects}\\
      Baseline controls                         & Yes           & Yes         & Yes         & Yes\\  
      Extended controls                         &               &             & Yes         & Yes\\  
      State A                                   &               & Yes         & Yes         & Yes\\  
      State B                                   &               & Yes         & Yes         & Yes\\  
      \midrule
      \emph{Fit statistics}\\
      Observations                              & 188,210       & 65,194      & 65,194      & 65,194\\  
      \midrule \midrule
      \multicolumn{5}{l}{\emph{Clustered (Directed Dyad ID \& State A \& State B) standard-errors in parentheses}}\\
      \multicolumn{5}{l}{\emph{Signif. Codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05, +: 0.1}}\\
   \end{tabular}
   
   \par \raggedright 
   \parbox[t]{\width=\textwidth}{\textbf{Notes:} Logit estimates of fatal MID iniation. 
           The unit of analysis is the directed country dyad year. 
             Baseline controls: relative territorial size of state A vs. state B; logged absolute size of country B; 
             indicators for whether governing group in A has governing or powerless kin segment in B;   
             cubic polynomials for peace and calendar years.  
             Extended controls: logged aggregate group size of governing segments in A and B;
             ethnic fractionalization of countries A and B;
             Share of aggregate group governing in state A located in state B;
             Share of aggregate group governing in state A located in own country;
             conflict history (number of past years with ongoing territorial claims involving A and B);
             time since last border change involving country A or B (cubic polynomials). 
             Standard errors clustered on dyad, state A, and state B in parentheses.
          Significance codes: ***: 0.001, **: 0.01, *: 0.05, +: 0.1}
\end{table}


